Despite selling off the last session's gains, NYMEX crude oil
futures maintained a bullish price tag above $81 a barrel Tuesday,
as the dollar's safe-haven appeal was renewed and oil markets eyed
forecasts for an additional build in crude stocks.
Arrows were down on the session for both the price of light
sweet crude oil and gasoline futures to $81.49 a barrel and $2.26 a
gallon, respectively. Natural gas spot prices at the Henry Hub also
posted a slight loss to $4.52 Mcf.
"I think we're taking a pause in the rally," said Phil Flynn,
vice president in charge of research for PFG Best in Chicago. "As
we head into the summer driving season, we will return to more
normal markets, but the market may be getting ahead of itself and
traders are asking whether they really should be driving prices
higher amid recent inventory builds."
Will Oil Stay Comfortable Near $80?
"The era of cheap energy is over," said Flynn, reiterating a
proclamation Tuesday by the International Energy Agency's chief
economist.
In a speech to the National Association for Business Economics,
IEA economist Fatih Birol advised that oil prices will remain "on
the high side" with oil supply unlikely to keep up with demand, Dow
Jones reported. Birol sees China as the main driver of global oil
demand, which he expects will increase by about 1.5 million barrels
a day in 2010.
"This kind of pronouncement would have carried more weight 10 years
ago," noted Flynn. "What Birol says is true, but it's not because
of peak oil -- it's because investment is down somewhat," the
analyst contended. "At some point, however, if China continues to
grow unabated, we'll see oil prices continue to rise."
Additionally, the EIA raised its 2010 global oil demand forecast
by 270,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 1.47 million bpd.
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